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Did anyone profit from this years volatile stock market

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Old 12-31-2008, 03:59 PM
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Did anyone profit from this years volatile stock market

I'm just curious if anyone has made money in stocks in 2008.
My parents lost 40% of the equities they've owned, and I'm made 29% profit.
Though I've only started investing since middle of November with $10000 dollars I've saved up over the last year.
Old 12-31-2008, 04:25 PM
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You picked a good time to get in. Protect those profits
Old 12-31-2008, 05:02 PM
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Originally Posted by Fossil_TL
I'm just curious if anyone has made money in stocks in 2008.
My parents lost 40% of the equities they've owned, and I'm made 29% profit.
Though I've only started investing since middle of November with $10000 dollars I've saved up over the last year.
^^ not quite an apples-to-apples comparison. I'm down in the 30% range for the year.
Old 12-31-2008, 05:24 PM
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Not me-- the market has my accounts.
Thank goodness I'm healthy, employed, get pretty regular sex and am good looking.
Originally Posted by jlukja
...I'm down in the 30% range for the year.
I quit checking the percentage decreases at the beginning of the year, so I don't know how much the market has me.

At least none of our money or investments were with Madoff or in Lehman Bros.
Old 12-31-2008, 05:48 PM
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I'm up about 60% but all beginners luck. I was lucky enough to get in on HIG and rode some pretty big swings and protected profits. Sometimes I sold a little too early and bought back in a little too early but I'll take a 60% return in 2 months. Now I'm just investing for the long term and hoping to start doubling up when the markets return to normal.
Old 01-11-2009, 10:46 PM
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It was a tough year, but I managed to make realized gains come year end. Since we had a bearish market, I made most of my money using shorting strategies. I shorted FSLR and held DXD (2x short of the DOW30) as well as QID for shorting the nasdaq100 numerous times throughout the year. It was very hard making money on holding stocks long last year. I made money on SAFM, SLV, TCHC, and FRD and lost money on financials (ETFC, XLF, CNA) and some energy stocks (XLE, COP).

My Portfolio paper performance was -17% .vs. a -38.5% SP500 so it beat the SP but I'm still down $ from last year this time. The way this year has started, we may have another tough year again but I'll wait until end of January to make a final decision on that.

Last edited by LaCostaRacer; 01-11-2009 at 10:47 PM. Reason: typo
Old 01-12-2009, 12:22 AM
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I haven't looked
Old 01-30-2009, 10:28 PM
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January results are now in: SP500 down -8.6% compared to last year at this time being down -5.0%. We're worse this year than last.

I project a -20% or worse SP500 performance for 2009. The best money ideas are market index shorts and holding commodity ishare positions (oil when it bottoms and gld/slv) with maybe a end of the year rally maybe.

Time will tell how accurate my projection will be, but I have a pretty good track record for both up and down markets. Stock trading is one of the few things that age/experience actually makes you better than youth/inexperience.

Best of luck trading!

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Old 01-30-2009, 10:30 PM
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-64592 since september.....number is burned into my brain
Old 01-31-2009, 10:23 AM
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Originally Posted by LaCostaRacer
The best money ideas are market index shorts and holding commodity ishare positions (oil when it bottoms and gld/slv) with maybe a end of the year rally maybe.
I've been hearing a lot of people talk about these lately. Usually by the time the guy in the next cube is talking about something its too late.
Old 01-31-2009, 11:26 AM
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^People talk about things all the time- it's actions that count and placing real money on the line. Many people simply parrot what they heard the previous night on Kramer and we all know how great of a stock picker Kramer is- not.

Every investor needs to make his own decisions on the direction of the market and how to profit. If you think the market is going to be higher come year end, then you would obviously not go and short the market indices. I think the market will be lower so I will short regardless of what other people are saying.

All you need to do is look at a chart like DXD to see what I'm referring too regarding profiting. If DXD breaks 65 to the upside then there is lots of room for a run to mid to high 70's. The trading volumes on DXD are pretty average so this idea in far from being worn out. DXD is currently testing resistance because the DOW is at a 8000 support level that seems to be holding for the time being. I don't own any DXD shares yet but probably will in the next few weeks.
Old 02-19-2009, 02:30 PM
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so for someone with a few thousand to invest, would now be a time to stay away? Or is there still room to profit...
Old 02-19-2009, 02:37 PM
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Originally Posted by RMATIC09
so for someone with a few thousand to invest, would now be a time to stay away? Or is there still room to profit...
What's your timeframe?
1yr - no (unless you're very lucky)
5yr - yes
10yr+ - definitely

What is the money for?
Can you afford to lose it? (risk/reward)
Old 02-19-2009, 02:57 PM
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Originally Posted by NSXNEXT
What's your timeframe?
1yr - no (unless you're very lucky)
5yr - yes
10yr+ - definitely

What is the money for?
Can you afford to lose it? (risk/reward)
5yr or possible 10yr+

I can afford to lose it assuming work and everything else is going well. I still have plenty saved up and put aside towards a house/rainy day which this would not come out of.

I don't want to worry about it day to day and would rather be surprised a couple years down the road by it's performance. Maybe use it towards a better house or something else I may need down the road. With everything going on, it is just a bit confusing as to what would be a good moderate to long term investment...
Old 02-19-2009, 05:09 PM
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Originally Posted by NSXNEXT
What's your timeframe?
1yr - no (unless you're very lucky)
5yr - yes
10yr+ - definitely

What is the money for?
Can you afford to lose it? (risk/reward)
no special purpose, just curiosity.
Old 02-19-2009, 05:23 PM
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I just started playing around for the first time (I put in under $1K). I can lose it, would rather not, but I'm having fun...

Hopefully I can make something of this.
Old 02-22-2009, 01:58 PM
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I bought DXD shares on this week's technical breakdown. 7450 was a pretty substantial support level that broke down easily. This week's DXD position has already yeilded a 6% profit since Tuesday's purchase. The next big support level for the DOW is 7200 and then 6950 that was set in 2002. If these break, we're in for a world of trouble regarding the technicals of the DOW and other indices- DXD will vault.

DXD closed at 71.55 on Friday and my near-term price target is 79 so there's still a potential 10% profit left.

SLV (silver i-share) is another favorite and this is performing great- currently at 14.25 with a 19.00 price target and that has a > 30% profit left in it. I started buying SLV in mid-November and those positions are already up 52% in the last 3 months.

I'll probably be adding to both positions this week if the weakness in the market continues.
Old 02-23-2009, 11:36 AM
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^ WTF? Those sound like big profits.. What kind of money are you playin with??

Oh yeah, the DOW looks like it'll easily slip under 7,000.. Right now we're down about 100 all day then the 120 now . Well, if the DOW goes under 7,000 I'm gonna be cashing out my mutual funds and 401k... I'm startin to tweek. I think I'll take that money and just hunt down all the big bank CEOs and Madoff... I got something I wanna tell them.
Old 02-23-2009, 08:03 PM
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^ I manage my own accounts now. Mostly because I hired a money manager around 2000 and he managed to lose a lot of my money. Had to learn things myself and haven't looked back since. I manage both taxable and IRA rollover accounts.

Today's action is extremely bad- watch out if 6950 gets broken for the DOW. It could become very ugly- down to year=1995 levels! I bought a new position in TBT that shorts the 20 year treasury- got in at 45.81 this morning. My bear picks are now: TBT, SLV, and DXD.
Old 02-23-2009, 09:45 PM
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...one of the guys at work lost about 149k... i havent lost, but my gains have been about 10% of what was projected...
Old 02-24-2009, 01:49 PM
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Originally Posted by LaCostaRacer
^ I manage my own accounts now. Mostly because I hired a money manager around 2000 and he managed to lose a lot of my money. Had to learn things myself and haven't looked back since. I manage both taxable and IRA rollover accounts.

Today's action is extremely bad- watch out if 6950 gets broken for the DOW. It could become very ugly- down to year=1995 levels! I bought a new position in TBT that shorts the 20 year treasury- got in at 45.81 this morning. My bear picks are now: TBT, SLV, and DXD.
I'm going to paper trade SLV on this pull-back. Might as well get it while the gettin's good and before the messiah raises capital gains taxes.

Like yourself, I've been keeping a close eye on USO for awhile now.

Then my safe money:
- is making 6% in a fixed annuity
- 9% in a money market being dollar-cost-averaged swept to high yield bond & energy funds with a guarantee on my principal against any market losses
- 10% in an overseas CD
- about 4.25% cash value increase in my whole life policy
Old 02-24-2009, 01:58 PM
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^ You ever see Boiler Room?

Looks like you got your Series 7, good.. Get the hell outta here.
Old 02-24-2009, 02:01 PM
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Originally Posted by afjock21
^ You ever see Boiler Room?

Looks like you got your Series 7, good.. Get the hell outta here.
Yes....

Don't worry, Obama will save you
Old 02-24-2009, 02:06 PM
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Originally Posted by LaCostaRacer

All you need to do is look at a chart like DXD to see what I'm referring too regarding profiting. If DXD breaks 65 to the upside then there is lots of room for a run to mid to high 70's. The trading volumes on DXD are pretty average so this idea in far from being worn out. DXD is currently testing resistance because the DOW is at a 8000 support level that seems to be holding for the time being. I don't own any DXD shares yet but probably will in the next few weeks.
Damn good call on DXD by the way!
Old 02-24-2009, 02:10 PM
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Where can I get this monkey market makin 9% ? I can retire pretty soon if that's the case...
Old 02-24-2009, 02:18 PM
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Originally Posted by afjock21
Where can I get this monkey market makin 9% ? I can retire pretty soon if that's the case...
I'm not allowed to say...
Old 02-24-2009, 02:21 PM
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You're not helping this individual reach his lifetime financial dream and goal...
Old 02-24-2009, 02:25 PM
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Originally Posted by afjock21
You're not helping this individual reach his lifetime financial dream and goal...
I'm not registered in MA.
Old 02-24-2009, 02:29 PM
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Index funds FTW!

I've been making nice gains, everytime Obama announces another stimulus bill, spending bill, or bailout
Old 02-24-2009, 10:34 PM
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Originally Posted by LaCostaRacer
I bought DXD shares on this week's technical breakdown. 7450 was a pretty substantial support level that broke down easily. This week's DXD position has already yeilded a 6% profit since Tuesday's purchase. The next big support level for the DOW is 7200 and then 6950 that was set in 2002. If these break, we're in for a world of trouble regarding the technicals of the DOW and other indices- DXD will vault.

DXD closed at 71.55 on Friday and my near-term price target is 79 so there's still a potential 10% profit left.

SLV (silver i-share) is another favorite and this is performing great- currently at 14.25 with a 19.00 price target and that has a > 30% profit left in it. I started buying SLV in mid-November and those positions are already up 52% in the last 3 months.

I'll probably be adding to both positions this week if the weakness in the market continues.
I probably won't be adding to my DXD position at this point now.
Today's market bounce was good and needed and DXD took a bad hit as a result so I lost 1/2 my profits in this position today. No worries because I still have a 6+% gain in one week which isn't bad. I don't think anyone wants to see a Dow 6950 get broken on the downside.

The Point & Figure chart of DXD just gave a sell signal while a candle stick chart still shows an upward price trend. I generally like both charts to confirm a trend but probably won't wait this time. Any weakness tomorrow will cause me to exit this with a hopeful profit. From a technical basis, DXD might be coming down to 65/61-ish near-term which is a 20/50 day Exponential moving average. I generally abide by a P&F chart for a short-term trade like what DXD is.

Last year, I traded DXD 5 times- all profitable. My shortest hold period was 3 days and that yielded a 22% profit. The longest hold period was 162 days and that yielded a 6% profit similar to what I have now after 7 days- might be better to play it safe on this one and keep the profit streak alive. My average hold was 70 days for 20% profit.

I'm a Technical Trend trader for index shorts like this. The trend appears to be abruptly changing on this pick. This is generally a strong time of the year for the market so maybe we'll see more of a bounce for the next couple of weeks or months. Time will tell.
Old 02-25-2009, 06:12 AM
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Originally Posted by special-ed
I'm not registered in MA.
Old 02-25-2009, 08:34 AM
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Originally Posted by LaCostaRacer
I probably won't be adding to my DXD position at this point now.
Today's market bounce was good and needed and DXD took a bad hit as a result so I lost 1/2 my profits in this position today. No worries because I still have a 6+% gain in one week which isn't bad. I don't think anyone wants to see a Dow 6950 get broken on the downside.

The Point & Figure chart of DXD just gave a sell signal while a candle stick chart still shows an upward price trend. I generally like both charts to confirm a trend but probably won't wait this time. Any weakness tomorrow will cause me to exit this with a hopeful profit. From a technical basis, DXD might be coming down to 65/61-ish near-term which is a 20/50 day Exponential moving average. I generally abide by a P&F chart for a short-term trade like what DXD is.

Last year, I traded DXD 5 times- all profitable. My shortest hold period was 3 days and that yielded a 22% profit. The longest hold period was 162 days and that yielded a 6% profit similar to what I have now after 7 days- might be better to play it safe on this one and keep the profit streak alive. My average hold was 70 days for 20% profit.

I'm a Technical Trend trader for index shorts like this. The trend appears to be abruptly changing on this pick. This is generally a strong time of the year for the market so maybe we'll see more of a bounce for the next couple of weeks or months. Time will tell.
It will be interesting to see how the markets react today based on Obama's speech & Bernanke's comments. Europe already showing a little up-tick. Probably going to be flat trading until earnings reports come out next month and February's non-farm payroll #'s also come out or up until another "stimulus" package is signed in....
Old 02-25-2009, 08:35 AM
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Originally Posted by afjock21
I don't make the rules, I just follow em'.
Old 02-27-2009, 08:54 AM
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Bank Nationalization here we come....

Govt's share of preferred stock going to common stock.

LaCosta, DOW is gonna break 6950. Hold on!
Old 02-27-2009, 09:11 AM
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It's gonna go a lot lower than that!
Old 02-27-2009, 03:55 PM
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DOW 3000 is coming.
Old 03-02-2009, 09:42 AM
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Bottom trend line is pointing to 6500 area until our next bounce, should we be so lucky to get that bounce....
Old 03-02-2009, 09:51 AM
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Hey, if you own a stock that's worth less than what you paid for... Say you own a stock that's worth 50 bucks, and now it's worth 45 bucks, should you sell it then buy it up right away at the lower price? Seeing as you believe in the stock. Or does this not make sense?
Old 03-02-2009, 10:28 AM
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Originally Posted by afjock21
Hey, if you own a stock that's worth less than what you paid for... Say you own a stock that's worth 50 bucks, and now it's worth 45 bucks, should you sell it then buy it up right away at the lower price? Seeing as you believe in the stock. Or does this not make sense?
You'll still lose money on just the buy/sell transactions alone. I'm sorry, but what you're saying isn't making any sense.....

- You buy 1 share at $50 plus pay commissions on the buy transaction
- Stock drops to $45 on the open market, so you're under $5
- You sell the stock say at $44 since that is how much a potential buyer is willing to pay for it. Now you're under $6 plus transaction fees x2
- Then you're going to buy back in at $44 and pay another transaction fee?

You'd sell it if you think it would go much lower than $45 to cut your losses.
Old 03-02-2009, 12:45 PM
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^

Yeah, that makes sense..


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