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Apple: What you gon' do with all that junk inside your trunk?

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Old 08-26-2016, 08:00 PM
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Old 08-31-2016, 07:29 PM
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must be nice to be Tim Cook....

Apple CEO Tim Cook this week sold another $28.7 million worth of Apple stock, according to documents filed with the SEC.

Cook sold 269,993 shares at prices ranging from $105.95 to $107.37, netting himself a total of $28,703,590. Combined with the 334,000 shares he sold last week for nearly $36 million, Cook has gained approximately $65 million over the course of the last few days.
Old 09-14-2016, 09:20 AM
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Up 8% since Friday's close.

$111.45 : $3.50 (3.24%)

Less than 1 hour into trading and the day's volume already over 26 million when average daily volume is at 33.8 million. Maybe Buffett/Berkshire bought more?
Old 09-15-2016, 02:58 PM
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$115.71 : $3.94 (3.52%)
Old 09-25-2016, 02:43 AM
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Old 10-25-2016, 12:36 AM
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Reports Q4 2016 #s tomorrow


Apple Q4 2016 guidance

EPS : n/a
Revenue: between $45.5 billion and $47.5 billion
Margins: between 37.5% and 38%


Analyst Q4 2016 expectations

EPS:
$1.65 per Thompson Reuters
$1.66 per FactSet
$1.71 per Estimize
Revenue:
$46.89 billion per Thompson Reuters (down 8.95% from a year ago)
$46.99 billion per FactSet
$47.2 billion per Estimize
Margins: ???

iPhone: 44.8 million per FactSet
iPad: ???
Mac: ???


Q4 2015 numbers for comparison

EPS: $1.96
Revenue: $51.5 billion
Margins: 39.9%

iPhone: 48.05 million
iPad: 9.88 million
Mac: 5.71 million


Q1 2017 analyst expectations

EPS: $3.17 (down 3.35% from $3.28 in Q1 2016)
Revenue: $74.65 billion (down 1.6% from $75.87 billion in Q1 2016)
Margins: ???
Old 10-25-2016, 12:53 AM
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Im going to regret not selling some this past week while its been hovering at a high...sigh.
Old 10-25-2016, 06:34 AM
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Today - Announce lower then expected earnings
Tomorrow - Stock goes down
Thursday - Apple announces new MacBooks, Stock goes up.
Old 10-25-2016, 08:23 AM
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Originally Posted by Whiskers
Today - Announce lower then expected earnings
Tomorrow - Stock goes down
Thursday - Apple announces new MacBooks, Stock goes up.
So in other words
Today - watch stock go down
Tomorrow - buy low stock
Thursday - #profit

??
Old 10-25-2016, 09:16 AM
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Originally Posted by Whiskers
Today - Announce lower then expected earnings
Tomorrow - Stock goes down
Thursday - Apple announces new MacBooks, Stock goes up.
True...but I've risked it before over the past several years and it never goes up THAT much. We'll see.

Either way, I sold some shares this morning while its still high.
Old 10-25-2016, 02:55 PM
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Small rally into the close. Weekly options suggesting a 4.5% move.

Picked up some Nov. 11 $120 calls and sold weekly $123 calls.
Old 10-25-2016, 03:32 PM
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Old 10-25-2016, 03:33 PM
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After Hours : 121.54 3.29 (2.78%)


Reports Q4 EPS of $1.67 vs $1.66 estimate
Revenue : $46.9 billion vs $46.99 billion estimate
Margins: 38% vs 37.5% to 38% estimate

iPhone: 45.51 million vs 44.8 million estimate
iPad: 9.27 million vs 9 million estimate
Mac: 4.89 million vs 5 million estimate




EDIT >>>

After Hours : $116.00 $2.25 (-1.90%)



Q1 2017 guidance

Revenue: between $76 billion and $78 billion vs $74.65 billion estimate
Margins: between 38% and 38.5%

Last edited by AZuser; 10-25-2016 at 03:44 PM.
Old 10-25-2016, 03:37 PM
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Originally Posted by Mizouse
Originally Posted by AZuser


After Hours : 121.54 3.29 (2.78%)


Reports Q4 EPS of $1.67 vs $1.66 estimate
Revenue : $46.9 billion vs $46.99 billion estimate
Margins: 38%

iPhone: ??? million vs 44.8 million units estimate
iPad: ??? million vs 9 million units estimate
Mac: ??? million vs 5 million units estimate




EDIT >>>

After Hours : $117.87 $0.38 (-0.32%)

told you!

its even worse now.
After-hours: 115.84 -2.41 (-2.04%)
Old 10-25-2016, 03:38 PM
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45.5 million iPhones.
Old 10-25-2016, 03:40 PM
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Hoping Tim Cook has good things to say on conference call, and they surprise with good product announcements later in week.

Tim needs to talk up services revenue and how that part of business is growing strong. It was up 25% year over year to $6.33 billion

Last edited by AZuser; 10-25-2016 at 03:44 PM.
Old 10-25-2016, 03:45 PM
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Buy before MacBook announcements per whiskers?
Old 10-25-2016, 03:56 PM
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Aside from services revenue growth, another bright spot is Apple's expectation of Q1 2017 revenue to be between $76 billion and $78 billion. This means that Apple sees revenue growth again (growth of 0.17% to 2.8%) vs Q1 2016 revenue of $75.87 billion.
Old 10-25-2016, 05:59 PM
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Originally Posted by Mizouse
Buy before MacBook announcements per whiskers?
No one cares about mac. It's iPhone or bust with this company.

Product is now mature (ie everyone has one that wants one and there are no longer major advancements every 2 years). Company will make a ton of money for a long time. Low P/E stock = not much downside IMO.

Last edited by doopstr; 10-25-2016 at 06:03 PM.
Old 10-25-2016, 07:03 PM
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Lots of people care about the MacBook. Many people have been waiting to either buy their first or upgrade what they have until something new comes. Its not going to make as much for them as the phone, but they will sell.
Old 10-25-2016, 09:32 PM
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If they come out with a quad core mini, I MAY consider upgrading my 2012 quad core mini.
Old 01-27-2017, 05:35 PM
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Reports on Tuesday.

Apple Q1 2017 guidance
  • EPS: n/a (EPS was $3.28 a year ago)
  • Revenue: between $76 billion and $78 billion (had revenue of $75.87 billion a year ago)
  • Margins: between 38% and 38.5% (was 40.1% a year ago)

analyst Q1 2017 estimates
  • EPS of $3.23 (FactSet) , $3.25 (Estimize)
  • Revenue of $77.4 billion (FactSet) , $77 billion (Estimize)
  • Margins of 38.5%
    .
  • 78 million iPhones (FactSet) , 75 million (Morgan Stanley) vs 74.8 million a year ago
  • ? million iPads vs 16.1 million a year ago
  • ? million Macs vs 5.3 million a year ago


Apple earnings: iPhone 7 could break streak of shrinking sales - MarketWatch

Apple earnings: iPhone 7 could break streak of shrinking sales

Published: Jan 27, 2017

Analysts forecast growth in Apple revenue and iPhone unit sales after three consecutive quarters of declines

Apple Inc. and its iconic smartphone may return to growth when the tech giant reports holiday-quarter earnings after the market closes Tuesday, which would reverse the first declines since the iPhone was born.

iPhone unit sales have declined for three consecutive quarters, leading to the first fiscal-year revenue drop for Apple in more than a decade, but analysts expect Apple’s flagship product to show a rebound in the first fiscal quarter, which was also the first full quarter of iPhone 7 sales. Apple’s fiscal year starts with the holiday-shopping season, typically the largest quarter of the year for the company.

Credit Suisse analyst Kulbinder Garcha said his recent checks with Apple suppliers indicate that overall iPhone shipments “remain in line to ahead of expectations.”

Citing recent supply and demand checks, Morgan Stanley analyst Katy Huberty on Jan. 16 cut her estimate for December-quarter iPhone shipments to 75 million units from 79 million, and she warned that Apple would likely give March-quarter guidance below investors' expectations.

Analysts remain cautious on fiscal 2017 as a whole, however, with growth expected to be relatively flat through the next few quarters. Longer upgrade cycles, increased competition and slow growth in emerging markets continue to be problems for Apple, weighing on its ability to meaningfully expand.

Earnings:

While revenue is expected to gain, profit could take a slight hit for Apple. Analysts expect the company to report earnings per share of $3.23, down from $3.28 in the year-earlier period, according to FactSet. Estimize predicts Apple earning $3.25 a share. Apple has a long history of beating the FactSet consensus, which tends to prove a slightly more conservative estimate compared with that of Estimize. Apple has topped the FactSet consensus estimate in nine of the past 10 quarters, but it has come up short of the Estimize forecast in three of the past six quarters.

Revenue:

Sell-side analysts expect Apple to report revenue of $77.4 billion, according to FactSet, up from $75.8 billion in last year’s holiday shopping quarter. Contributors on Estimize predict revenue of $77 billion. Apple set guidance at a range of $76 billion to $78 billion when it last reported earnings in October. The company has missed the FactSet consensus estimate for revenue in three of the past four quarters, and has fallen slightly short of the Estimize consensus estimate four quarters in a row.

Revenue from the iPhone is projected to increase by 3%, to $53.1 billion from $51.6 billion in the year-earlier period, on a slight increase in units sold. Analysts believe Apple sold 78 million iPhones in the quarter compared with 75 million a year ago, according to FactSet. Average selling prices are projected to fall, with the FactSet consensus predicting $687 per unit compared with $735 a year ago.

What to watch for:

Analysts will be focused on iPhone sales and the continued growth of software and services, which surpassed the Mac in 2016 to become Apple’s second-biggest revenue generator behind the smartphone. According to FactSet, revenue from services is forecast to reach $6.9 billion, compared with $6.1 billion in the year-earlier period.

Macquarie analyst Ben Schachter said he believes services, and particularly the App Store, “can drive significant upside to consensus gross margins and earnings.”

Zino, one of the more bullish Apple analysts on Wall Street, also believes Mac sales will improve following the company’s release of new Mac-family products at the end of October. The FactSet consensus calls for a year-over-year decline for Mac revenue, $6.5 billion versus $6.7 billion a year ago. However, data from IDC released last week showed PC shipments fell just 1.5% world-wide during the holidays, a marked improvement from the 10.6% decline last year.
Old 01-31-2017, 03:35 PM
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Beat!

$124.82 : +$3.47 (2.86%)

EPS of $3.38 vs estimates of $3.23 (FactSet) , $3.25 (Estimize) . . . . up from $3.28 a year ago

Revenue of $78.4 billion vs estimates of $77.4 billion (FactSet) , $77 billion (Estimize) . . . . up from $75.87 billion a year ago

product sales
  • iPhones: 78.2 million vs estimate of 78 million iPhones (FactSet) . . . . up 74.8 million a year ago
  • iPads: 13.081 million vs estimates of 15 million . . . . down from 16.1 million a year ago
  • Macs: 5.374 million vs estimates of 5 million . . . . up from 5.3 million a year ago
  • Services: $7.17 billion vs estimates of $6.9 billion (Factset) . . . . up from $6.056 billion a year ago



Apple Q2 2017 guidance

Apple is providing the following guidance for its fiscal 2017 second quarter:
  • revenue between $51.5 billion and $53.5 billion vs analyst estimates of $53.65 billion (FactSet)
  • gross margin between 38 percent and 39 percent
  • operating expenses between $6.5 billion and $6.6 billion
  • other income/(expense) of $400 million
  • tax rate of 26 percent

Last edited by AZuser; 01-31-2017 at 03:48 PM.
Old 01-31-2017, 03:46 PM
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Old 01-31-2017, 03:48 PM
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iPads be lagging....
Old 01-31-2017, 03:59 PM
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$124.44 : +$3.09 (+2.55%)



This trader bets it all on Apple getting crushed after earnings - MarketWatch

This trader bets it all on Apple getting crushed after earnings

Jan 30, 2017

We first met F.S. Comeau back in April, when we interviewed the 30-something from Montreal for a story about WallStreetBets, a Reddit forum that rose to prominence over the past year for its irreverent and gun-slinging approach to playing markets.

Count Comeau among those that have experienced the lofty peaks and painful valleys of the group’s high-risk approach to trading. In fact, one particularly tough stretch landed him in the hospital with stress-related issues. That’s what hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of losses can do to a guy.

This Tuesday, he vows, will mark his last and boldest attempt to erase losses and reach market riches. In WallStreetBets lingo, his Apple bet — and our call of the day — is his “final YOLO.” For you non-millennials, that’s “you only live once!”

So what does Comeau do for his swan song? Basically, he is using what’s left of his stash to bet big against Apple by buying put options that, according to Comeau, could net him upwards of a few million if his prediction holds true. But if Apple, which currently sits near $122, trades at $128 or above after the report — poof! — $240,000 gone.

Here’s a look at the trades:



“IT IS SIMPLY NOT POSSIBLE FOR APPLE TO SPIKE UP POST-EARNINGS,” Comeau wrote. “It didn’t happen to Google, it didn’t happen to Western Digital, Qualcomm, or even Intel INTC, or Microsoft (2%! Yay!), despite excellent earnings (which Apple won’t have).”

Famous last words?

Go here for his entire 5,000-plus word post explaining why he’s quitting trading for good, how “the stock market is rigged” and how a drop of at least 20% in Apple shares on Wednesday will earn him back the fortune he’s lost in the trading pits. The iPhone maker is due to post its quarterly results late Tuesday.

Some called Comeau out for a being fool, others snickered and wished him luck, and then there were several others who bought into the concept of the trade.“

Maybe I’m an idiot, but after reading that entire post, I’m in for some Apple puts,” writes OcculusResurrectio. “Not YOLO-ing, but the logic is pretty sound.”
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Old 01-31-2017, 04:28 PM
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I thought mac sales were declining?
Old 01-31-2017, 07:47 PM
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Originally Posted by AZuser

Old 02-01-2017, 09:11 AM
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big opening
Old 02-01-2017, 09:16 AM
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Sold some off before it drops more.

sadly...This stock has done VERY well for me for years...but I think by the end of the year I will have sold it off. Cant keep it forever.
Old 02-01-2017, 11:08 AM
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New 52 wk high.

$128.53 : +$7.18 (+5.92%)

Still climbing....

$128.65 : +$7.30 (+6.02%)

Last edited by AZuser; 02-01-2017 at 11:17 AM.
Old 02-01-2017, 05:28 PM
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If Trump let's Apple bring their offshore money home there could be a nice dividend in the future.
Old 02-01-2017, 07:52 PM
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Old 02-09-2017, 01:32 PM
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Wouldn't you know it.... new 52 wk high @ $132.24. Guess I shouldn't have sold everything.

Time to test the all time (intra day) high of $134.54 (April 28, 2015)
Old 02-13-2017, 12:19 PM
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Originally Posted by AZuser
Wouldn't you know it.... new 52 wk high @ $132.24. Guess I shouldn't have sold everything.
Back in.

$133.64 : +$1.52 (+1.15%)

Market Cap: $702.31 Billion


Apple stock nears record high - Feb. 13, 2017

Apple stock nears record high

Feb. 13, 2017

Apple has found its groove again.

The iPhone maker's stock hit $133.76 in early trading Monday, putting Apple less than $1 away from its intraday trading high of $134.54, reached in April 2015.

The stock surge, pushing Apple (AAPL, Tech30) to a $700 billion market cap, comes amid renewed optimism for the iPhone.

Goldman Sachs raised its price target for the stock on Monday, citing the likelihood of "major new features" like "3D sensing" being added to the next iPhone model, according to an investor note provided to CNNMoney.

Apple's previous high was set six months after it released the redesigned iPhone 6 and 6 Plus, kicking off what CEO Tim Cook described as the "mother of all upgrades."

Since then, however, Apple has bucked its tradition of overhauling the iPhone every other year. The newest models on the market today look nearly identical to the iPhones available in late 2014.

The long wait, combined with this year marking the iPhone's tenth anniversary, has only raised expectations that Apple is about to significantly overhaul its smartphone and reignite demand.

Apple's annual sales fell in the 2016 fiscal year for the first time since 2001 as iPhone sales, still the majority of its business, declined in three consecutive quarters.

Apple even cut its CEO's pay by 15% due to the company's failure to meet its performance goals for both sales and profits.

But that losing streak just ended.

Apple sales started growing again in the December quarter, driven by stronger demand for the iPhone -- particularly for the larger and more expensive iPhone 7 Plus.

The company sold 78.3 million iPhones for the quarter, setting a new record. At least some of that may be due to the Samsung's smartphone recall woes.

Mark Moskowitz, an analyst with William Blair, wrote in an investor note this month, "Samsung's Note 7 struggles likely helped."

The iPhone isn't the only reason Wall Street is excited about Apple. There's also President Trump.

Despite Trump clashing with Apple during the campaign, investors are now optimistic Apple will benefit from at least one Trump proposal: cutting taxes on cash that U.S. businesses bring back from their overseas accounts.

Apple currently has $230 billion in cash held in foreign accounts. If Trump and Congress make it cheaper for Apple to bring that money back, it could be used for acquisitions and buybacks.
Old 02-13-2017, 02:26 PM
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Old 02-14-2017, 01:43 PM
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$135.00 : +$1.71 (+1.28%)

Market Cap: $714.34 Billion

It did it. New all time high.
Old 02-14-2017, 08:01 PM
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Originally Posted by Mizouse
Must be nice
Warren Buffett?s big bet on Apple may have made him $1.1 billion in just six weeks - MarketWatch

Warren Buffett’s big bet on Apple may have made him $1.1 billion in just six weeks

Feb 14, 2017

If Warren Buffett can do a cartwheel, he’s probably doing one right now, as Apple Inc.’s stock continued its surge and notched yet another record close.

The famed billionaire investor’s investment vehicle, Berkshire Hathaway Inc., disclosed in a regulatory filing Tuesday that it loaded up on Apple’s stock during the fourth quarter, increasing its stake to 57.36 million shares as of Dec. 31, up from 15.23 million shares as of Sept. 30.

Apple’s stock rose 2.5% during the fourth quarter. But since then, aided by stronger-than-expected first-fiscal-quarter results, reported Jan. 31, the stock has shot up $19.20, or 16.6%, closing Tuesday at a record level for a second straight day.

If the stake remained unchanged, Buffett’s Apple shares would be worth $1.1 billion more than they were just a little over six weeks ago.

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Old 02-14-2017, 08:07 PM
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Too bad that his Cadillac XTS isn't due for a refresh for another 5 years.
Old 02-17-2017, 11:05 AM
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... should give Apple a small boost in iPhone sales in India.

Apple to start India manufacturing in coming months with iPhone SE: Report

Apple to start India manufacturing in coming months with iPhone SE: Report

FEb. 17, 2017

Apple Inc will in the coming months start assembling its lower-priced iPhone SE models at a contract manufacturer's plant in the southern Indian technology hub of Bengaluru, an industry source with direct knowledge of the matter said on Friday.

Apple's Taiwanese manufacturing partner Wistron Corp is setting up a plant in Bengaluru to focus solely on assembling iPhones, a separate source told Reuters earlier this month.

Apple's move comes as it seeks to boost its share in the world's fastest growing major mobile market, where handsets far cheaper than Apple's iPhones dominate. It also comes as smartphone sales growth is slowing in Asia's other massive market, China.

To lower prices, Apple has been seeking to set up local production and has been in talks with the Indian federal government regarding issues such as tax concessions.


The industry source told Reuters the initial manufacturing of the iPhone SE model was not contingent on those concessions.

Apple did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The Economic Times newspaper earlier on Friday reported Apple planned to initially assemble 300,000 to 400,000 iPhone SE handsets in India. The industry source told Reuters the numbers would be substantially lower to begin with.

The source also said it was too early to say what other phone models Apple would assemble at the Bengaluru plant.

Apple shipped 2.5 million iPhones to India last year, with a third coming in the December quarter, according to market researcher Counterpoint, which estimates that three-quarters of smartphones sold in India were made locally.

In the fourth quarter, Apple ranked tenth in India's smartphone market but led the premium segment with a 62 percent market share, Counterpoint said.

Samsung Electronics Co Ltd and a host of Chinese players including Xiaomi and Vivo dominate India's smartphone market where the vast majority of phones sold are priced below 15,000 rupees ($225).

In comparison, the entry level iPhone SE model sells on Amazon.com's India site for 28,433 rupees ($424).


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