High-mileage trade-ins clogging used car lots

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Old 08-01-2012, 09:45 AM
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High-mileage trade-ins clogging used car lots

http://bottomline.nbcnews.com/_news/...-car-lots?lite

By Paul A. Eisenstein, TheDetroitBureau
American motorists are waiting longer than ever to trade in their cars, trucks and crossovers — with 10 years and 150,000 miles becoming the new norm, rather than the exception, according to a pair of new reports.
In the golden era of planned obsolescence, it became common for American new car buyers to trade in as often as every two to three years. Perhaps that was no surprise when quality and reliability were secondary to styling and automotive one-upsmanship. But as quality and reliability become essential requirements for automakers, consumers can feel comfortable that a car will last longer — something that has become a requirement as prices rise and the economy falters, analysts suggest.

Nearly eight in 10 owners will now hold onto their vehicle for a decade or longer before trading in, according to a survey by AutoMD.com. Meanwhile, a Black Book survey finds that the majority of owners will not trade in until their vehicles have at least 125,00 to 150,000 miles on the odometer — with 200,000-mile trade-ins being anything but rare these days.
“There is nothing surprising about the economy driving car owners to hold onto their vehicles for longer. Our data has been showing this trend for the past three years, but what is most compelling is that longer ownership has become an embedded habit for car owners, regardless of what the economy does,” said Brian Hafer, vice president of marketing at AutoMD.com.
The survey of 4,000 vehicle owners by AutoMD found that:
  • 78 percent plan to keep their current vehicle until it’s more than 10 years old
  • 15 percent expect to trade it in when it's 8 to 10 years old
  • 4 percent will trade it in when it's between 6 and 7 years old
  • 3 percent expect to trade it in when it's between between 3 and 5 years old
That, of course, is bad news for an auto industry struggling to draw customers back into the showroom as soon and as often as possible. But, in a sense, the industry only has itself to blame. According to other recent studies, such as the J.D. Power and Associates Initial Quality Survey and Power’s Vehicle Dependability Survey, today’s products last longer than ever with fewer problems requiring major repairs along the way. Meanwhile, many makers are now offering free scheduled maintenance programs while vehicles are under warranty.
Where motorists of the past knew that their vehicles were reaching a ripe old age at 100,000 miles, today’s consumers just see that figure as a milestone to show friends.

AutoMD’s data show 60 percent of primary vehicles now have more than 100,000 miles on them. And the Black Book study adds that the majority of vehicles won’t be traded in until they clock between 125,000 and 150,000 miles, with some owners hanging on until the odometer clicks over again at 200,000.
“Americans are holding onto their cars longer today, and this aged vehicle is what’s being traded in as we’ve seen a rise in new-car sales activity,” said Ricky Beggs, an analyst at Black Book.”







The shift in consumer attitudes is obvious. While manufacturers have been putting a renewed focus on emotional design, consumers say that’s great but they won’t give up quality and functionality for looks. The AutoMD study found 52 percent of motorists saying their next vehicle purchase will primarily be influenced by practicality. Only 21 percent said they will be more influenced by styling.
Asked why they’re holding onto their vehicles longer, 47 percent of AutoMD respondents listed a weak economy. The survey, which allowed motorists to list more than one answer, saw 44 percent check off the fact that they’ve been more vigilant about service and repairs; 37 percent cited the desire to save money; 28 percent mentioned they were doing their own repairs to keep the old jalopy running; and 19 percent noted that today’s cars simply last longer.
Old 08-01-2012, 10:17 AM
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For decades the industry wanted us to get new cars every 2-3 years, putting us in perpetual debt. At the expense of the economy lol, I think Americans are saving more, paying down debt, and hanging on to their vehicles until they actually "need" it.
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Old 08-01-2012, 03:11 PM
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Old 08-01-2012, 04:55 PM
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I'm going to keep our family hauling CX-9 for at least 6 or more years. I plan to buy used for a while after.
Old 08-01-2012, 05:04 PM
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I prefer to keep my cars until there's nothing more I can do to save them...which, unfortunately comes down to money.
Old 08-01-2012, 09:21 PM
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^this! My 99 TL (daily driver) has 193K miles, and my 05 TL has 46K miles.

The wifey has a 02 camry (daily) w/ 194K miles, and 06 SRX (the vacation vehicle) with 130K miles.

we dont plan on purchasing anymore cars for a while, unless it a "DEAL"!
Old 08-01-2012, 09:24 PM
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well, if new cars weren't so effin expensive more peeps might consider turning them over more quickly.
Old 08-01-2012, 10:09 PM
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achenator, Crazy Acura, DREAMSTAH

LOL. Me and CA don't need to be in this thread.
Old 08-02-2012, 06:08 AM
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145K on the 4runner, 112 on the 04 tsx. We're keeping them until 200k.
I just put a new skid plate and hi/low horns on the tsx.
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Old 08-02-2012, 06:31 AM
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want to hold on to my 06 tsx-next goal 200K miles
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Old 08-02-2012, 10:22 AM
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My wife's 03 Pilot is at 210K miles, my TL is at 75K.
I'd like to get at least 300K on both.
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Old 08-02-2012, 12:04 PM
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I've got 147K miles on my 2000 TL and I plan on keeping it at least until the 200K mile mark. Maybe even longer depending on how it holds up.
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Old 08-02-2012, 01:01 PM
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Trading the RDX when the warranty expires next May. The TL will follow in another 3 years.
Old 08-02-2012, 01:35 PM
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I had a '90 Acura Legend and almost got to 280,000 miles, was a great car up and through college. I now have my 06 TSX and would love to see it through 250,000 miles.

Most Americans would change their cars because of the horrible quality of most domestic cars. They wouldn't really last past 5 years, so it was actually economically beneficial to just buy a new one and keep warranty, instead pouring money into the pit of repairs. (Ford Focus)

People are demanding better vehicles so they are also lasting longer. I think Tech is better too so people are happier with "simpler" cars longer.
Old 08-02-2012, 01:59 PM
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We still have my mom's 92 camry at 230k even though it's our third car now. Got gifted a 89 Cressida with 104k. My CL has 128k and I plan to do another 105k service, I even have a spare tranny waiting for it
Old 08-02-2012, 08:38 PM
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& the dealers ask $10k for these high mile cars. The used car market is a fucking disgrace right now.
Old 08-02-2012, 09:09 PM
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Interesting article. Thanks for sharing.
Old 08-02-2012, 09:23 PM
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This:
"Where motorists of the past knew that their vehicles were reaching a ripe old age at 100,000 miles, today’s consumers just see that figure as a milestone to show friends."

But shhhhhhhhhh already. Don't wake up the planned obsolescence engineers.
Old 08-03-2012, 12:08 PM
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Originally Posted by NewCarAgain
& the dealers ask $10k for these high mile cars. The used car market is a fucking disgrace right now.
They should be $2-5k cars.
Old 08-03-2012, 05:45 PM
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Originally Posted by NewCarAgain
& the dealers ask $10k for these high mile cars. The used car market is a fucking disgrace right now.
couldn't agree more. I just picked up an 06 v6 6 speed accord sedan with 140k for 8900. best thing i can find for under 10k.

honestly, the worst are some of these rsx's. 10 years old and some of em are still going for 9, 10k.
Old 08-04-2012, 12:12 AM
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For me, the moment at which I decide to get rid of a car is when I could be paying for something much newer/nicer for the same amount of money I put into my car monthly. Hell, just based on the last month alone, with over $3,300 in repairs I could afford an immensely better car. I think this isn't the best way to go about it, but it certainly helps make the decision to move on easier.

My 2001 330xi has over 142,500 miles, and is very shortly on the way out.
Old 08-04-2012, 09:58 AM
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Originally Posted by NewCarAgain
& the dealers ask $10k for these high mile cars. The used car market is a fucking disgrace right now.
Originally Posted by bigballer8526
couldn't agree more. I just picked up an 06 v6 6 speed accord sedan with 140k for 8900. best thing i can find for under 10k.

honestly, the worst are some of these rsx's. 10 years old and some of em are still going for 9, 10k.
It's not just the dealers, it's private sales as well. I've been looking for a used 10yrs or more SUV's. Some have 200k and people are prices like their effing new.
Old 08-04-2012, 10:04 AM
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Used car market is nuts, people ARE willing to pay a lot more these days for less.

Just look up a 5 year old Camry or Accord if you don't believe me. Dirty, 140,000 miles and dealers are asking in the teens.
Old 08-04-2012, 10:38 AM
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15 percent expect to trade it in when it's 8 to 10 years old
That's the longest I plan to keep my Infiniti. I'll have the itch by 2017-18 for sure. But then again having it paid for in a couple of years will be nice with no car note, if it stays trouble free and I'm saving $500+ per month who knows
Old 08-04-2012, 11:44 AM
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Originally Posted by Ken1997TL
Used car market is nuts, people ARE willing to pay a lot more these days for less.

Just look up a 5 year old Camry or Accord if you don't believe me. Dirty, 140,000 miles and dealers are asking in the teens.
Willing because, they can't afford, or don't want to pay new car prices. In the past, it made sense to buy a used car a couple years off of the lot. Now prices are to close to new.

Also cars are much better built and last much longer than ever before. Hell last year, had the dealer clean the fuel injectors, about a week later they sent an offer letter to buy for trade in. Was just under 4k. A 99 CRV with 125k at that time. With most cars that I've owned a 13 yr old car, be lucky to get $100 per year of the car.

Last edited by jupitersolo; 08-04-2012 at 11:48 AM.
Old 08-04-2012, 11:45 AM
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Originally Posted by jupitersolo
Willing because, they can't afford, or don't want to pay new car prices. In the past, it made sense to buy a used car a couple years off of the lot. Now prices are to close to new.
And now I think those people are idiots for not just buying a new car, having a warranty and keeping it for 10 years.

Oh well.
Old 08-04-2012, 11:50 AM
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Originally Posted by jupitersolo
Willing because, they can't afford, or don't want to pay new car prices. In the past, it made sense to buy a used car a couple years off of the lot. Now prices are to close to new.
Exactly. I looked at used cars when I was shopping. I simply couldn't justify buying a used car for only 2 -3K difference from a brand new car.

It's ridiculous.
Old 08-04-2012, 11:52 AM
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Originally Posted by Ken1997TL
And now I think those people are idiots for not just buying a new car, having a warranty and keeping it for 10 years.

Oh well.
Don't forgot, a lot of used come with a better warranty than new. These certified cars that offer longer than factory warranty, is one reason for higher prices on used.
Old 08-04-2012, 12:38 PM
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Originally Posted by Hapa DC5
That's the longest I plan to keep my Infiniti. I'll have the itch by 2017-18 for sure. But then again having it paid for in a couple of years will be nice with no car note, if it stays trouble free and I'm saving $500+ per month who knows
2017-2018? Heck, I've got the itch already and it's been almost 3 1/2 years since my last car purchase. Note: usually, I'm out of my cars at 2.5-3 years, so you can tell that I REALLY like my current daily driver.

An aside: it will be paid off in the next few weeks, over 18 months early due to financial discipline this year.
Old 08-04-2012, 12:57 PM
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I've never kept a car for more than 3 years, I'm now 6 1/2 with my TL @67k. I love this car, but I need something more than this. I'm too much of a pussy to even take it on dirt roads.
Old 08-04-2012, 02:58 PM
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Originally Posted by neuronbob
2017-2018? Heck, I've got the itch already and it's been almost 3 1/2 years since my last car purchase. Note: usually, I'm out of my cars at 2.5-3 years, so you can tell that I REALLY like my current daily driver.

An aside: it will be paid off in the next few weeks, over 18 months early due to financial discipline this year.
LOL, I don't drive my car enough to have the itch. I couldn't keep a car for longer than 3 years either, but definitely can't justify buying another car and another 5 years of debt when I drive less than 10k per year now. Plus I actually enjoy this car when I do drive it.

Like you, I'm paying quite a bit over my minimum to pay off my Infiniti a year+ early.

I'm holding fire until I see how the next gen M3 sedan, A/CTS-V, rumored 400+hp G sedan, or C63 turn out before I plunk down a lot of dough on a new ride.

First world problems
Old 08-04-2012, 03:51 PM
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Just put new tires on my mom's '04 Infiniti I35 at 125k. Car drives, feels, and looks like it has 35k on it.

If my parents ever sell, I'd buy it as a "beater".
Old 08-04-2012, 04:37 PM
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I can attest this is true, at my dealership we had about 10 wholesale units just a few months ago, now were up to over 4 dozen. I'd say 80% of trades have over a 100k mi. That being said, I'm getting car that have more miles than I've ever seen.

Last week a guy traded in a car with 375,000. Way more people are driving them as far as they'll go.

Had a girl come in with a saturn that had no exhaust, 1 forward gear and no reverse. She was using it daily for work.
Old 08-04-2012, 04:41 PM
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150K is about average for a car that is 8-10 years old.

Most economic cars from any brands are quite reliable these days. 100K is nothing.
Old 08-04-2012, 06:03 PM
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When I traded in my '02 RL with 67,000 miles, you should have seen the drooling. I got $2,000 over excellent KBB trade in.

Why? Because they could sell it all day for a lot more. (I would have sold it private party and I did attempt to but I literally live in the middle of nowhere and would rather not have people on my property)
Old 08-04-2012, 07:26 PM
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Traded in the 03 CRV with 128k on the clock for a 2012 CRV, upgraded to a bumper to bumper warranty 8yr/120k with 2yr maintenance free through the local honda dealer.

04 tsx my daily has 132k on the clock and it will stay my daily until it implodes. Currently looking for my toy but used car prices are so inflated it hurts. I did find a nice g8 gt with about 30k on the clock.

Also have a super secret toyota previa, supercharged all wheel drive, lol. Deep down inside I want to do something creative with it. Either slam or lift (i live in south carolina).

Good article, good read, and I completely agree with it.
Old 08-08-2012, 05:00 AM
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Both cars are paid off, mine with 82K and wife has 92k on the pilot, planning on keeping both for a while. Why have a car payment? I drive 600+ miles a week so anything I buy I will kill the value so I'll be in the scion for a while. Just makes sense and allows me to save money for other things.
Old 08-08-2012, 06:39 AM
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Originally Posted by Ken1997TL
Used car market is nuts, people ARE willing to pay a lot more these days for less.

Just look up a 5 year old Camry or Accord if you don't believe me. Dirty, 140,000 miles and dealers are asking in the teens.

This is so true, I've been looking all summer for a car for my daughters in the DC/Baltimore area. The majority of poor conditon high mileage Accords is amazing, many are buying them them at auto auction wholesalers and reselling. The best condition ones I see are private owners.
Old 08-08-2012, 07:51 AM
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Argh!! Bring the old days back, I want rich Americans to take the hit on the new car and sell to me cheap after 2-3 years. I have a novelty fetish and get sick of stuff very quickly, I can't even go to the same coffee shop more than a few weeks - I have to drive 10 miles further down the road for "new". Driving a car 10 years? I'd probably start bicycling or something just to mix it up... and not go insane.
Old 08-08-2012, 08:17 AM
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Originally Posted by parasitius
Argh!! Bring the old days back, I want rich Americans to take the hit on the new car and sell to me cheap after 2-3 years. I have a novelty fetish and get sick of stuff very quickly, I can't even go to the same coffee shop more than a few weeks - I have to drive 10 miles further down the road for "new". Driving a car 10 years? I'd probably start bicycling or something just to mix it up... and not go insane.
Not sure if you are serious but leasing is perfect for you. Drive a new car every few years and lower monthly payments.


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