X, formerly known as Twitter
#41
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#42
Been thinking about selling some June Puts at $37, $38, or $39 strike.
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
#43
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#44
Been thinking about selling some June Puts at $37, $38, or $39 strike.
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
TWTR - $61.62 Down - $2.13 (3.34%)
$37 Puts are currently $2.90
$38 Puts are currently $3.20
$39 Puts are currently $3.40
I think I'll wait for the stock to pull back some more before jumping in.... or maybe wait after they report earnings in Jan. Those Puts should be around $6-$7 if TWTR pulls back another $10 or so.
#45
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almost back up to $70/share
#46
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#47
After Hours : $57.92 - Down $8.05 (12.20%)
Twitter Inc. shares tumbled late Wednesday after the company reported weaker than expected user growth and timeline views. Twitter said it had 184 million monthly active users in the fourth quarter, lower than the consensus expectation of 249 million. Twitter's timeline views also reached 148 billion in the quarter. Analysts were expecting nearly 174 billion. Revenue and earnings were "good, but users and timeline views were weak," Wedbush analyst Shyam Patil told MarketWatch.
Twitter said its fourth-quarter revenue more than doubled thanks to a surge in advertising spending, suggesting that the short messaging services' efforts to woo Madison Avenue are paying off.
Shares of Twitter, which have more than doubled since the company's initial public offering in November, fell more than 10% in after-hours trading despite the better-than-expected results.
Twitter's results for the three months through December signal it is still early days for the seven-year-old San Francisco company. Revenue rose to $242.7 million from $112.2 million, at a slightly faster rate than earlier quarters in the year.
But Twitter remains unprofitable as costs continued to grow faster than revenue. For the fourth quarter, Twitter said its net loss widened to $511.5 million, or $1.41 a share, compared to a prior-year loss of $8.7 million, or seven cents a share. The increased costs were attributed to research and development, and sales and marketing.
Excluding a significant increase in stock-based compensation costs in the latest period, as well as other items, Twitter posted an adjusted profit of two cents a share in the latest period.
Analysts, on average, estimated that Twitter would post a loss of two cents a share on revenue of $218 million, according to Thomson Reuters.
Part of the boon in revenue is owed to consumers' rapid shift to mobile. Twitter said about 75% of its advertising revenue now stems from mobile devices, up from over 70% the preceding quarter. Facebook Inc. last week said advertising on mobile devices for the first time generated more than half of its quarterly revenue.
Twitter continued to recruit new users to its site. Twitter averaged 241 million active users per month as of the end of 2013, an increase of 30% year-over-year.
Looking ahead, Twitter sees 2014 revenue between $1.15 billion to $1.2 billion, with revenue for the first quarter of the year expected to range between $230 million to $240 million.
Analysts had expected $1.14 billion in revenue for 2014, with first quarter sales expected to total $215 million.
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/...65091350326808
Shares of Twitter, which have more than doubled since the company's initial public offering in November, fell more than 10% in after-hours trading despite the better-than-expected results.
Twitter's results for the three months through December signal it is still early days for the seven-year-old San Francisco company. Revenue rose to $242.7 million from $112.2 million, at a slightly faster rate than earlier quarters in the year.
But Twitter remains unprofitable as costs continued to grow faster than revenue. For the fourth quarter, Twitter said its net loss widened to $511.5 million, or $1.41 a share, compared to a prior-year loss of $8.7 million, or seven cents a share. The increased costs were attributed to research and development, and sales and marketing.
Excluding a significant increase in stock-based compensation costs in the latest period, as well as other items, Twitter posted an adjusted profit of two cents a share in the latest period.
Analysts, on average, estimated that Twitter would post a loss of two cents a share on revenue of $218 million, according to Thomson Reuters.
Part of the boon in revenue is owed to consumers' rapid shift to mobile. Twitter said about 75% of its advertising revenue now stems from mobile devices, up from over 70% the preceding quarter. Facebook Inc. last week said advertising on mobile devices for the first time generated more than half of its quarterly revenue.
Twitter continued to recruit new users to its site. Twitter averaged 241 million active users per month as of the end of 2013, an increase of 30% year-over-year.
Looking ahead, Twitter sees 2014 revenue between $1.15 billion to $1.2 billion, with revenue for the first quarter of the year expected to range between $230 million to $240 million.
Analysts had expected $1.14 billion in revenue for 2014, with first quarter sales expected to total $215 million.
http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/...65091350326808
Twitter said it averaged 241 million monthly users, up just 3.8 percent from the previous quarter — the lowest rate since Twitter began disclosing its user figures. Twitter's user numbers grew at 10 percent, 7 percent, and 6 percent during the first three quarters of the year, respectively.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101389927
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101389927
#48
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#49
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Down 17%
#50
Team Owner
Time to buy?
#51
#52
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Did anyone else pick this up when it was $50/share?
#53
#54
1st TWTR lockup expires today.
2nd lockup is on May 6
2nd lockup is on May 6
A small pile of Twitter shares could be freed to the market this week as agreements that barred employees from selling a portion of their shares after the IPO expire.
On Saturday, Twitter employees may elect to sell as much as 9.9 million shares. The expiration is the first opportunity company employees will get to cash out.
Lockup expirations typically attract short sellers and can significantly sink stock prices – as was witnessed when the sales bans at Facebook began to lift. Shares at the social networking giant tumbled 6.4% to a new low when the first batch of shares became eligible for sale in August 2012.
But Twitter took a different tact from Facebook, much like the way its relatively smooth IPO had taken a decidedly distinct approach.
This first chunk of shares available for sale is small. It represents just 1.8% of outstanding shares and is mainly to give non-executive employees a way to settle income tax expenses from vesting shares. In comparison, Facebook freed more than 271 million shares — or nearly 13% of those outstanding, in the first lockup. Four more expirations for Facebook shareholders came up over the next nine months, releasing 1.4 billion more shares into the market place. The biggest release came 181 days after the IPO, as will Twitter’s.
On May 6, the rest of the 474.7 million shares will start to be eligible for sale. That includes shares held by Twitter’s executives, directors and owners with big stakes in the company, such as early backers Benchmark Capital, Union Square Ventures and Rizvi Traverse. Twitter didn’t specify in its IPO filing the exact sale dates for the remainder of these shares.
No insiders were allowed to sell shares in Twitter’s IPO, unlike Facebook’s offering in which more than half of the shares sold came from early investors and executives.
The volatility that usually accompanies lockup expirations — largely because the scales of supply and demand are tipped — prompts interest from short sellers.
Donald Dion, who runs DRD Investments LLC and is short on Twitter, said he’ll be looking at how the stock reacts in the days leading up to the lockup expiration and Monday. He anticipates the stock will go down prior to the expiration.
Twitter’s stock has been fickle in recent weeks. The stock still hasn’t fully recovered after a disappointing earnings report sent the shares down as much as 24% last week. Twitter’s stock inched up 0.25% to $57.03 Thursday morning. It had reached a high of $74.73 in late December.
Overall, Mr. Dion expects this lockup to be more of an indicator of what will happen at the 180-day mark.
“It’s a small test for what will happen on May 6 when more people can sell,” he said.
http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2014/02/...es-on-saturday
On Saturday, Twitter employees may elect to sell as much as 9.9 million shares. The expiration is the first opportunity company employees will get to cash out.
Lockup expirations typically attract short sellers and can significantly sink stock prices – as was witnessed when the sales bans at Facebook began to lift. Shares at the social networking giant tumbled 6.4% to a new low when the first batch of shares became eligible for sale in August 2012.
But Twitter took a different tact from Facebook, much like the way its relatively smooth IPO had taken a decidedly distinct approach.
This first chunk of shares available for sale is small. It represents just 1.8% of outstanding shares and is mainly to give non-executive employees a way to settle income tax expenses from vesting shares. In comparison, Facebook freed more than 271 million shares — or nearly 13% of those outstanding, in the first lockup. Four more expirations for Facebook shareholders came up over the next nine months, releasing 1.4 billion more shares into the market place. The biggest release came 181 days after the IPO, as will Twitter’s.
On May 6, the rest of the 474.7 million shares will start to be eligible for sale. That includes shares held by Twitter’s executives, directors and owners with big stakes in the company, such as early backers Benchmark Capital, Union Square Ventures and Rizvi Traverse. Twitter didn’t specify in its IPO filing the exact sale dates for the remainder of these shares.
No insiders were allowed to sell shares in Twitter’s IPO, unlike Facebook’s offering in which more than half of the shares sold came from early investors and executives.
The volatility that usually accompanies lockup expirations — largely because the scales of supply and demand are tipped — prompts interest from short sellers.
Donald Dion, who runs DRD Investments LLC and is short on Twitter, said he’ll be looking at how the stock reacts in the days leading up to the lockup expiration and Monday. He anticipates the stock will go down prior to the expiration.
Twitter’s stock has been fickle in recent weeks. The stock still hasn’t fully recovered after a disappointing earnings report sent the shares down as much as 24% last week. Twitter’s stock inched up 0.25% to $57.03 Thursday morning. It had reached a high of $74.73 in late December.
Overall, Mr. Dion expects this lockup to be more of an indicator of what will happen at the 180-day mark.
“It’s a small test for what will happen on May 6 when more people can sell,” he said.
http://blogs.wsj.com/digits/2014/02/...es-on-saturday
#55
The sizzle in the Steak
...and down goes twitter!!!
#56
After Hours : $38.56 - Down $4.06 (9.53%)
Twitter booked a net loss in the first quarter because of stock compensation costs, but its results surpassed Wall Street's expectations thanks to a sharp increase in advertising revenue.
Twitter Inc. said Tuesday that it had a loss of $132.4 million, or 23 cents per share, in the January-March quarter. That compares with a loss of $27 million, or 21 cents per share, a year ago when Twitter was still privately held.
Revenue more than doubled to $250 million from $114 million.
Analysts had expected an adjusted loss of 3 cents per share on revenue of $241.5 million.
Twitter says it had 255 million monthly users at the end of March, up 25 percent from a year ago.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/twitte...202254164.html
Twitter Inc. said Tuesday that it had a loss of $132.4 million, or 23 cents per share, in the January-March quarter. That compares with a loss of $27 million, or 21 cents per share, a year ago when Twitter was still privately held.
Revenue more than doubled to $250 million from $114 million.
Analysts had expected an adjusted loss of 3 cents per share on revenue of $241.5 million.
Twitter says it had 255 million monthly users at the end of March, up 25 percent from a year ago.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/twitte...202254164.html
#57
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#58
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Been thinking about selling some June Puts at $37, $38, or $39 strike.
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
Fuck this shit!
Last edited by Mizouse; 04-30-2014 at 06:01 PM.
#59
#60
#61
Team Owner
#62
#63
Drifting
Even at today's closing price of $30.78, TWTR is way overvalued. TWTR is acting like FEYE which has been a real disaster the last month and was down 22% today at $29.00- that was a $95 stock in March. I made a huge mistake covering that short in April.
TWTR to me looks like a better deal as a short until the fundamentals drop to sane levels. A lot of tech stocks are looking weak. I would keep cash and dip into techs in September or October- there should be some decent deals.
The only tech I own now is OVTI and I'm thinking seriously about selling that one now too and buying back in September.
TWTR to me looks like a better deal as a short until the fundamentals drop to sane levels. A lot of tech stocks are looking weak. I would keep cash and dip into techs in September or October- there should be some decent deals.
The only tech I own now is OVTI and I'm thinking seriously about selling that one now too and buying back in September.
#64
Been thinking about selling some June Puts at $37, $38, or $39 strike.
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
$37 Puts are $2.15 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $645 profit*
$38 Puts are $2.20 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $660 profit*
$39 Puts are $2.60 x sell 3 contracts (300 shares) = $780 profit*
What's the likelihood of TWTR falling below $37-$39 range (a 39% to 42% decline from today's $63.75 closing price) between now and June 21?
* profit = TWTR staying above $37-$39 price between now and June 21
Fuck this shit!
$37 Put - $2.15 = $34.85 (my cost per share)
Today's closing price: $41.44
$41.44 - $34.85 = $6.59 x 300 = $1,977 profit
#65
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so i take it you didnt get in then?
#66
No
Been watching it move up from $30 bottom.
Been watching it move up from $30 bottom.
#67
TWTR
After Hours : $48.60 - Up $10.02 (25.94%)
Q2:
$0.02 EPS on revenue of $312.2 million vs expecations of -$0.01 EPS and $283.07 million in revenue. Revenue a year ago was $139.3 million.
271 million monthly active users (up 24% YoY) vs expectations of ~ 267 million monthly active users. Added 16 million in Q2 vs analyst expectations of 8-15 million.
Q3 guidance:
$330 million to $340 million vs analyst expectations of $323.71 million
After Hours : $48.60 - Up $10.02 (25.94%)
Q2:
$0.02 EPS on revenue of $312.2 million vs expecations of -$0.01 EPS and $283.07 million in revenue. Revenue a year ago was $139.3 million.
271 million monthly active users (up 24% YoY) vs expectations of ~ 267 million monthly active users. Added 16 million in Q2 vs analyst expectations of 8-15 million.
Q3 guidance:
$330 million to $340 million vs analyst expectations of $323.71 million
Last edited by AZuser; 07-29-2014 at 03:22 PM.
#68
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But I'm still in the red
Last edited by Mizouse; 07-29-2014 at 03:19 PM.
#69
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Dude 29%
#70
Team Owner
#71
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34.44%
#73
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I wish I had more cash on me to buy more shares to Lower my avg cost
I'm still -23%
I'm still -23%
#74
#75
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Yea dumb. But I've had it a LOOONG time
I'm not pulling another FB and selling
#76
Team Owner
Didn't Janet Yellen tell us not to buy this social media garbage?
Last edited by doopstr; 07-29-2014 at 04:39 PM.
#77
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#78
Team Owner
After Hours: 44.06 Down-4.50 -4.46 (-9.27%) 4:29PM EDT
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/twi...?siteid=yhoof2
Twitter Inc. TWTR, -9.41% on Monday reported a third-quarter loss of $175.5 million, or 29 cents a share, on revenue of $361.3 million, compared with a loss of $64.6 million, or 48 cents a share, on $168.6 million in sales in the same period a year ago. Excluding one-time items, Twitter earned a penny a share, which met the estimates of analysts surveyed by FactSet, who also forecast the company to report sales of $351 million. Twitter said it ended the quarter with 284 million monthly active users, a 23% increase from a year ago. Twitter shares fell 9% in after-hours trading following the release of its results.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/twi...?siteid=yhoof2
Twitter Inc. TWTR, -9.41% on Monday reported a third-quarter loss of $175.5 million, or 29 cents a share, on revenue of $361.3 million, compared with a loss of $64.6 million, or 48 cents a share, on $168.6 million in sales in the same period a year ago. Excluding one-time items, Twitter earned a penny a share, which met the estimates of analysts surveyed by FactSet, who also forecast the company to report sales of $351 million. Twitter said it ended the quarter with 284 million monthly active users, a 23% increase from a year ago. Twitter shares fell 9% in after-hours trading following the release of its results.
#79
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Don't know what to do with my position in this POS.
#80
After Hours : $44.80 - Down $3.76 (7.74%). Was down $4.57 (9.41%) earlier.
For Q3, earned 1 cent per share (non-GAAP) and revenue of $361.3 million. So they met bottom line and beat top line estimates of 1 cent per share and revenue of $351.4 million. Revenue also surpassed the guidance of $330 million to $340 million they gave in July.
Based on GAAP, quarterly loss increased to $175.5 million (29 cents a share) from $64.6 million a year ago, so still losing money.
Q4 guidance is weak though... $440 to $450 million vs expectations of $448 million
Only added 13 million active users, down from 16 million that was added in Q2. Slowing user growth.
Total Monthly Active Users = 284 million (up 23% Year over Year) and up from 271 million in Q2. Estimates were for 280 million to 288 million MAU's.
Twitter?s User Growth Disappoints - WSJ - WSJ
Bright spots:
- Timeline views up 14%
- Ad revenue per one thousand timeline views = $1.77, up 83% year over year and up from $1.60 in Q2
- Raised FY revenue guidance to $1.365 million to $1.375 billion (from $1.31 billion to $1.33 billion) vs expectations of $1.362 billion
For Q3, earned 1 cent per share (non-GAAP) and revenue of $361.3 million. So they met bottom line and beat top line estimates of 1 cent per share and revenue of $351.4 million. Revenue also surpassed the guidance of $330 million to $340 million they gave in July.
Based on GAAP, quarterly loss increased to $175.5 million (29 cents a share) from $64.6 million a year ago, so still losing money.
Q4 guidance is weak though... $440 to $450 million vs expectations of $448 million
Only added 13 million active users, down from 16 million that was added in Q2. Slowing user growth.
Total Monthly Active Users = 284 million (up 23% Year over Year) and up from 271 million in Q2. Estimates were for 280 million to 288 million MAU's.
Twitter?s User Growth Disappoints - WSJ - WSJ
According to a small Raymond James survey asking “general consumers” which sites they use, 34% of respondents said they use Twitter, compared with 77% who use Facebook . Among the Twitter users, 57% said they are on Twitter “to stay up-to-date on information of interest,” but 52% of Twitter nonusers said they consider the service “a waste of time.”
At the same time, a separate survey conducted by Piper Jaffray this month showed Twitter is gaining traction with teens. About 59% of the 7,200 surveyed teens said they use Twitter, making it the second-most used social media site by teens after Instagram.
Twitter grabbed 0.5% of global digital ad revenue in 2013, which is expected to increase to 0.8% this year as digital ad spending increased to $140.7 billion, according to eMarketer.
Facebook, meanwhile, is expected to account for 8% of the global digital ad market this year.
Twitter’s strength lies in the consumers’ continued migration to mobile. Twitter is expected to account for 2.6% of the $36.46 billion mobile ad this year, according to eMarketer. In comparison, Facebook, which has five times as many users, is expected to account for 20.4% of the global mobile ad market in 2014.
At the same time, a separate survey conducted by Piper Jaffray this month showed Twitter is gaining traction with teens. About 59% of the 7,200 surveyed teens said they use Twitter, making it the second-most used social media site by teens after Instagram.
Twitter grabbed 0.5% of global digital ad revenue in 2013, which is expected to increase to 0.8% this year as digital ad spending increased to $140.7 billion, according to eMarketer.
Facebook, meanwhile, is expected to account for 8% of the global digital ad market this year.
Twitter’s strength lies in the consumers’ continued migration to mobile. Twitter is expected to account for 2.6% of the $36.46 billion mobile ad this year, according to eMarketer. In comparison, Facebook, which has five times as many users, is expected to account for 20.4% of the global mobile ad market in 2014.
Bright spots:
- Timeline views up 14%
- Ad revenue per one thousand timeline views = $1.77, up 83% year over year and up from $1.60 in Q2
- Raised FY revenue guidance to $1.365 million to $1.375 billion (from $1.31 billion to $1.33 billion) vs expectations of $1.362 billion