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Is the DOW going to burst at some point?

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Old 02-08-2018, 02:19 PM
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Old 02-08-2018, 02:33 PM
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buy the dip
Old 02-08-2018, 03:34 PM
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Another 1000 point drop today.....

Old 02-08-2018, 03:40 PM
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-1000 points is not even close to a correction....



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Old 02-08-2018, 04:04 PM
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yeah....we'll have to see what happens tomorrow and in the next few weeks.....never know....maybe it is the start of a correction.....
Old 02-08-2018, 04:34 PM
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Old 02-08-2018, 05:50 PM
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Old 02-08-2018, 07:07 PM
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Down 10% now. Now it's a correction.
Old 02-08-2018, 09:08 PM
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Where's nfn to tell us why it's Obama or Hillary's fault?
Old 02-15-2018, 04:01 PM
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Lot of market movement over totally bogus/manufactured fears. Pretty typical. I'm still up 6 figures since Trump was elected

I dumped even more $$$ into the market on the 2 dips.

As of today, the market is only down 5% from the all time high. Fundamentals are very sound, there's really no direction for the market to go but up.
Old 02-15-2018, 04:14 PM
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Originally Posted by nfnsquared
Fundamentals are very sound, there's really no direction for the market to go but up.
^ This. All economic signs point up. From what I understand, one of the main reasons for investor fear was the possibility of a rate hike. Rate hikes (in a good economy) usually result from just that - a good economy. If the economy is strong, rates will often be raised a bit. Just the fact that they're considering raising them is a good thing IMO. It's ironic, because the dip was largely caused by an "overheating" economy. Essentially it's doing so well, which resulted in a possible rate hike, which resulted in some panicked sellers in the market.

I don't have the cash to buy the dip, other than the standard bi-weekly deposits I have set up. But I definitely didn't consider throwing my funds into cash or something like that either.
Old 03-09-2018, 04:41 PM
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Nasdaq new high, 7560.81.
Keep pumping!
Old 03-17-2018, 08:31 PM
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I'm comparing today's Dow value with a year ago which was 17,602 and wonder how things could be so much better than the optimism we had last year with a new president that was going to change everything and make America great again. I see that GDPNow shows a 1.8% 2018 Q1 estimate- down significantly from its earlier and more optimistic 5.4% GDP.

There were 3 rate hikes worth .75% last year and the effects are starting to be felt. I guess we'll see how Powell works things in 2018 with the rate hikes. More rate hikes, tariffs, PetroYuan, increase in inventories, drops in GDP, high levels of consumer debt do not lead to a robust U.S. economy. Either the data is going to need to improve or the Dow is going down. I think Jan/Feb months are just an example of how volatile the markets will become- you see volatility like that when a top or bottom is forming.
Old 03-19-2018, 11:29 AM
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Old 03-22-2018, 04:07 PM
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Dow 30
23,957.89
-724.42(-2.93%)
Old 03-22-2018, 04:59 PM
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Meh, triple hit of Zuckerberg's mediocre response, the Fed rate increase (which should have already been factored in) and irrational (no one yet knows what the real effect will be) reaction to the Chinese tariffs...
Old 03-22-2018, 06:09 PM
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llVog7h.png
Old 03-23-2018, 05:39 PM
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Originally Posted by doopstr
Old 04-07-2018, 10:55 AM
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In 3 weeks the Dow has dropped a little over 1000 points. Hardly a crash, but indicative of a slow grind bear market that I believe we are already in. The tariff talk has escalated and the economic numbers are worsening- that was a crappy jobs report coming in for March.

The Dow seems to be forming a flag pattern in which the highs are getting lower. Perhaps next week we'll see a test of the 23,400 support level- all it takes is another Friday -572 drop to get down there. If that support level breaks, I don't see any meaningful support until Dow 19000 hits. If the Fed continues with the rate increases, 18-19000 is where I project the Dow going. All bets are off if Fed goes into a QE cycle afterwards.

Last edited by LaCostaRacer; 04-07-2018 at 10:57 AM. Reason: typ0
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Old 05-20-2018, 09:22 PM
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FUTURES FAIR VALUE Implied Open 215.91

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/05/20/mnuc...-progress.html
Old 05-22-2018, 12:09 AM
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Futures up another +314 for tomorrow. This, after a 298 pt gain today
Old 07-10-2018, 07:10 PM
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US futures slip as Trump administration seeks tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese goods


https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/10/us-f...-billion-.html
As of 7:10 p.m. ET, the implied open for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was more than 180 points lower. The implied open for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were also in the red.

List of proposed tariffs here. https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files...-10-2018_0.pdf
Old 07-10-2018, 07:42 PM
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Originally Posted by doopstr

US futures slip as Trump administration seeks tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese goods


https://www.cnbc.com/2018/07/10/us-f...-billion-.html
As of 7:10 p.m. ET, the implied open for the Dow Jones Industrial Average was more than 180 points lower. The implied open for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were also in the red.

List of proposed tariffs here. https://ustr.gov/sites/default/files...-10-2018_0.pdf
Meh, you left out the part about the market being up 745 points over the last 4 days....
Old 07-11-2018, 05:43 PM
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Going to need strong quarterly earnings result this season to get us out of this symmetrical triangle/above upper downward trend line and not fall below the 200 day moving average and lower upward trend line.





False break out on S&P ???

Old 07-11-2018, 05:51 PM
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Not going to be good if a lot of companies mention tariffs in their forward guidance.
Old 07-12-2018, 01:52 AM
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The last time we saw a symmetrical triangle formation similar to now was 10 years ago.

Old 07-12-2018, 11:14 PM
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Trade war fears? Yawn.... Up 224 pts ....
Old 07-30-2018, 11:30 AM
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Shit. Tech sell off / correction?


TWTR : $31.65 : -$2.47 (-7.25%)
FB : $168.25 : -$6.64 (-3.80%)
NFLX : $337.16 : -$18.05 (-5.08%)
SQ : $65.76 : -$4.09 (-5.86%)
TTWO : $113.45 : -$9.13 (-7.45%)
EA : $127.05 : -$6.76 (-5.05%)
BABA: $183.62 : -$5.80 (-3.06%)
SOGO : $9.2399 : -$1.0901 (-10.55%)
PVTL : $21.7411 : -$2.5889 (-10.64%)
OKTA : $49.83 : -$5.28 (-9.58%)
TWLO : $57.13 : -$3.58 (-5.90%)
LN : $43.68 : -$2.09 (-4.57%)
BOX : $23.7101 : -$1.1499 (-4.63%)
DBX : $28.35 : -$1.68 (-5.59%)
NTNX : $48.93 : -$2.96 (-5.70%)
ZS: $35.75 : -$1.63 (-4.36%)
ZUO : $23.55 : -$1.57 (-6.25%)
SPOT: $180.29 : -$5.98 (-3.21%)
Old 07-30-2018, 11:50 AM
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Old 07-30-2018, 12:33 PM
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Old 08-24-2018, 04:35 PM
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New all time high for the S&P 500, and Nasdaq! Keep pumping!
2,874.69
+17.71 (+0.62%)


7,945.98
+67.52 (+0.86%)
Old 08-28-2018, 12:26 AM
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And again today!! Thank you, sir. May I have another?
Old 09-19-2018, 09:49 AM
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DOW less than 200 points from all time high!!!
Old 09-22-2018, 11:37 AM
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26,743.50
Old 09-28-2018, 06:54 PM
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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock...131347561.html

S&P 500 books best quarter since 2013

The S&P 500 rose about 7%, its largest quarterly advance since the fourth quarter of 2013. The Dow is up more than 9% for the quarter, and the Nasdaq is up about 7%, marking its ninth consecutive quarter of gains.
Old 10-10-2018, 02:19 PM
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Double top?

DOW: 25,801.47 : -629.10 (-2.38%)

S&P: 2,808.35 : -71.99 (-2.50%)




Old 10-10-2018, 02:49 PM
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Old 10-10-2018, 09:40 PM
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My mutual funds were down 3.38% and 1.66%


The latter was a 50/50 stock/bond thing. Not too shabby. Maybe I'll buy more shares
Old 10-11-2018, 01:54 PM
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Here we go again.

DOW hovering around/slight below that 200 day moving average up trend support line.

DOW : 25,032.87 : -565.87 (-2.21%)

S&P and Nasdaq both below it

S&P: 2,726.56 : -59.12 (-2.12%)
Nasdaq: 7,315.68 : -106.37 (-1.43%)
Old 10-11-2018, 02:17 PM
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Originally Posted by Rapture
My mutual funds were down 3.38% and 1.66%


The latter was a 50/50 stock/bond thing. Not too shabby. Maybe I'll buy more shares
This is the correct response to a bear market (if we have one).

I'm young and so am heavy into equity/stocks in my portfolio....I am eagerly waiting for the next bear market so I can buy up more shares at lower cost.

Obviously this depends on your age....if I were near retirement I'd already be minimally exposed to stocks so wouldn't be much of an issue either way.

Buy low, sell high.


Quick Reply: Is the DOW going to burst at some point?



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